Irish election poll tracker: Will Fine Gael see support rise under Simon Harris?

Irish Election Poll Tracker: Will Fine Gael See Support Rise Under Simon Harris?
Find out who's up and who's down in the latest polls
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Tomas Doherty

Fine Gael is yet to see any rise in support following the appointment of Simon Harris as leader, according to the most recent polls.

In fact, the party saw a one-point drop in the latest Sunday Independent/Ireland Thinks survey, published on April 6th.


Mr Harris takes over Fine Gael after a slump in the polls under Leo Varadkar's leadership, with support for the party now averaging around 20 per cent.

Opposition parties have called for a general election after Mr Varadkar's shock resignation in March.

However, Mr Harris has ruled out an early election, stating he wants the Government to run its full term.

If the coalition between Fine Gael, Fianna Fáil and the Green Party runs its full term, an election must be held by March 22nd next year.


This year is already set to be an important electoral test for the Government – two referendums took place on March 8th, while local and European elections are scheduled in June.

Below you will find the latest estimated public support for the main political parties based on an average of recent polls.


After 13 years of Fine Gael in power, Sinn Féin has been consistently ahead in the polls since the start of 2021.

However, Sinn Féin’s support has fallen in the most recent surveys, and from a high of 36 per cent in 2022.

Support for the Government parties has remained largely unchanged over the last year, while support for Independent candidates has jumped significantly since the autumn.


Between the end of October 2023 and April 2024, the estimated support for Independent candidates and other parties increased by around five percentage points.

Despite the recent shift, Sinn Féin is still most likely to be the largest party in the next Dáil.

The poll tracker combines voting intention surveys published by major Irish pollsters into one estimate of support for each party. The data is sourced from the Irish Polling Indicator, which is maintained by academics Tom Louwerse and Stefan Müller.

All polls are based on a sample of people interviewed, typically more than 1,000, which is then weighted to be representative of the country.

Listed below are the polls that are currently used to calculate the polling averages.

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