Omicron variant less severe than Delta, initial studies suggest

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Omicron Variant Less Severe Than Delta, Initial Studies Suggest
Early data suggested there is a two-thirds risk reduction in hospitalisation for Omicron compared to Delta. Photo: PA Images
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Dan Barker, PA Scotland

People who contract the Omicron Covid variant are less likely to be sent to hospital when compared with the Delta strain, scientists have said.

In a pre-print study published on Wednesday, scientists in the Scotland-wide Early Pandemic Evaluation and Enhanced Surveillance of Covid-19 said that the early data suggested that Omicron is associated with a two-thirds reduction in risk of hospitalisation when compared with the strain which used to be dominant in the country.

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Dr Jim McMenamin, the national Covid-19 incident director for Public Health Scotland, labelled the findings a “qualified good news story”, but said that it was “important we don’t get ahead of ourselves”.

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Scientists at the University of Edinburgh said there is a two-thirds reduction in hospitalisation (David Davies/PA)

“The potentially serious impact of Omicron on a population cannot be underestimated. And a smaller proportion of a much greater number of cases that might ultimately require treatment can still mean a substantial number of people who may experience severe Covid infections that could lead to potential hospitalisation,” he said.

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Authors of the paper, which is yet to be peer reviewed, said if the Omicron had been like the Delta variant in Scotland they would have seen around 47 people in hospital suffering from the virus but, so far, there are only 15.

But Prof Mark Woolhouse, of the University of Edinburgh, said it was heavily caveated at the moment. The data is based on a small number of cases and did not have much data on those most at risk, the over 65s.

The Omicron strain is now the dominant type of virus in Scotland, with cases of the variant surging across the UK.

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Cambridge statistician Professor Sir David Spiegelhalter told BBC Radio 4’s PM programme the research was “very encouraging indeed”.

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“They did find, though, that Omicron is 10 times the risk of reinfection compared to Delta, really making clear that past infections provide little protection against this.

“But they found that the booster seriously reduced the risk compared to two doses.”

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